Trump’s push for a US-Ukraine minerals deal is less about helping Kyiv and more about countering China. With Beijing restricting critical mineral exports, Trump sees Ukraine’s vast deposits as a way to secure vital resources for defence and technology—reducing US dependence on China and enabling a tougher stance against its economic influence. But with Russia controlling a fifth of Ukraine’s mineral wealth and the country’s sector underfunded, the real impact of this strategy remains uncertain.

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